Saturday, November 15, 2008

Week 11 Official Lines and Predictions

Time to get down to business. The final stretch of division games are here and this week is set to be one of the most anticipated in FAA history. Onto the games…

Pittsburgh @ Jersey -10

Not often you will see a team on a 6 game losing streak as a 10pt favorite this late in the season, then again its not often you Ben Jarvis Green Ellis and Ricky Williams lining up in the backfield together… The Ballers resurfaced this week with an email about how much he loves this league and we can only hope that he means it. It is shameful how poorly the Pittsburgh franchise has been run over the years. I like at the roster and I see household names (Peyton, Addai, Fitz, Steve Smith…) and then I look at the record (3-7) and see a decade of mediocrity. Jersey has taken the tough schedule concept to all new heights. The Jackers have the #1 and #4 RBs paired with the #3 WR in the FAA. Has the rookie of the year at QB and a double-digit running back sitting on the bench. This team has to start winning at some point, right…..RIGHT? Give the points, hit your knees and pray. Give the 10 go with Jersey

Aliquippa @ Mt Lebo -6

All the teams that have been jealous about Mt. Lebo’s youth at RB through the first 10 weeks of the season are all laughing as the rookies are set to run smack into the wall over the season’s final weeks. Still hard to believe that Daunte Culpepper jumped straight off of his couch and into the Aliquippa’s starting line up last week. The Rabid Ghosts added Joe Flacco last week and Steeler fans everywhere stood up and cheered. If there is anyone who can ruin a QB its Zuc. It may just be time to get off of Bob’s back. I know its fun to call him Aqua Man and to point out his 9 year .500 streak, but the guy has improved his team dramatically this year. Mt. Lebo is the 2nd highest scoring team in this league and we are 10 weeks in!! I know you point to the record and that is what matters at the end of the day, but you are kidding yourself if you think Mt. Lebo squandered his early picks this year. There is so much talent on the roster that its possible that McFadden (#1 overall pick in the FAA draft) gets cut during the off-season. Calvin Johnson looks like a beast. Romo will only get better. The trade for the Steelers DEF was a smart move long-term, wrapping up a perennial strong DEF as a keeper. Yes this has been a string of losing seasons of epic proportions, but Mt. Lebo will be heard from in the future. Having said that…..I’ll take Quip town this week. ☺

Tokyo -3 @ Honolulu

The Destroyers have NEVER missed the FAA playoffs. Had to get that line out, because it may be one of the last times I get to type it. Honolulu is not mathematically eliminated but he is hanging on by the tiniest of threads. The emergence of Williams in Carolina has cast a cloud over his first round selection of Jonathan Stewart. The trade of LT was a bold move, but it also had a hint of desperation. Colston and Stewart have pretty much torched this team all season. This is Honolulu’s last stand. The Kamikazes have not been a good team for a while now. Rumors have been floating around that Carson Palmer was last seen leaving the scene with gas can in hand. His missed a golden opportunity to get Cassell in the starting lineup (40 pts!!!) Thursday night. Ivan is the kind of guy who doesn’t go down easy. I think he wins this week and puts off his execution for another 7 days.

New York -9 @ Henderson

So the West comes down to this…. NYC is one win away from winning more than 50% of all the West Division titles since 1999. Willie Parker gets his first start in a Client’s jersey and there is lots riding on his performance down the stretch for this team. Eddie Royal is the ONLY rookie on this team. The Client’s are a powerhouse but they are built to win now and not later, so its time to win Championships. Henderson won a Moyer cup in one of his first seasons in the FAA. Since that team he has bobbed back and forth above and below sea level. 2 games over .500 with the Eagles playing the lowly Bengals is all he could have hoped for at the start of the season. Of course there is the little problem of Hendo’s recent performance against NYC. Over the last 3 games NYC is 3-0 with an average score of 106 -47. The counter of Westbrook to Hendo’s McNabb is kryptonite to the Hitmen. Lay the points and go to www.jackedup.com to get your West Division Champion Hats and T-Shirts

Norfolk @ Imperial -8

That 70’s show!!! HAHAHAHAHAHAHA. Sorry, I had to get that out of the way. I have been in this space for 3 years talking about how Norfolk keeps winning ugly, how the guy is Jason Vorhees and won’t die, how his luck is bound to run out….Well after watching him pull off 5 consecutive wins while scoring the second least points in the FAA I just don’t know when its going to end. Portis’ injury status could be a problem for the rest of the year, but what is he doing with Portis anyway??? (Story for another day). Kurt Warner will likely have a huge day against SEA and Gore should blow up vs STL but I just don’t see where the rest of the scoring will come from. Imperial has been nipping at Norfolk’s heels for years. Faulk, Tomlinson, Johnson….how many star RBs have come through Imperial trying to get a ring. The Maulers traded away all their early draft picks this year and next year. Similar to NYC the Maulers need to win now. History isn’t on his side, but I think Wags can plunge the stake into Norfolk heart this week….but will it kill him?

Game of the Week

Sewickley @ Albany -8

This game has been building for 3 years now. It was 3 years ago when Sewickley stormed into this league and took over the Central division throne. Siv has gone form being known as Bird's high school age silent partner to the web innovator of the FAA. The move into FAA 2.0 (Pics, Blogs, Videos) was sparked by Siv. Leads you to question where the F@CK is Bird? For all Siv's prowess on the net his RB situation requires some help. Steven Jackson is out and the FiBombs are holding on to this division by a thread. Here comes.....BA. Somewhere during the long losing streak last season ( Albany 's 3rd season with no playoffs) BA made the bold move of tossing Dad out of the front office... Since that time BA is 4 games over .500 and within one game of the Central Division lead. I truly thought Raud would make his move next year, but the way the rosters are shaping up the Patroons can snatch the golden egg THIS season. The Mwelde Moore experiment is probably over so its time for Lynch to earn his franchise back tag. This race is not over but I like Albany this week.

Friday, November 7, 2008

Week 10 Official Lines and Predictions + Playoff Preview

Time to look at the FAA playoff picture heading into week 10. There are 4 games left to play and all of the divisions are up for grabs. Lets first take a look at the playoff seeding if they began today:


1. NY Clients*
2. Sewickley*
3. Imperial
4. Albany
5. Aliquippa
6. Henderson


The races are incredibly tight. Sewickley is 0.1PPG ahead of Imperial for the first round bye. Norfolk has the longest winning streak in the league (4) and is currently edged out of the playoffs by Captain Mediocrity (Hendo). Mt. Lebo is currently in position to do something no team in FAA history has EVER done. He is currently leading his division in PPG (2nd in the entire LEAGUE!!!!) and he is in LAST place in the Central. Is it possible that the Aqua Man thing is really in his head at this point? What is weird is that there are other teams who have better records with MORE points scored against. Mt. Lebo doesn’t even have the most points scored against in the Central (Albany). The flip side of the equation is the league’s 2nde LOWEST scoring team (Norfolk) has won 4 in a row and is only one game out of first place in the East.



Lets take a look at this week’s games (adjusted for Thursday’s results)


Pittsburgh @ Honolulu -9

Cutler is on the board with 38 points for the Destroyers and this one is OVER. PIT is on the board with 3 players on BYE and a last long in date of 11/2…. LT is gone from the Destroyers roster. Tomlinson never won a championship with Honolulu, but he also NEVER missed the playoffs. A nice gesture of Ivan to let him go before he misses the playoffs this season. Give the points. Honolulu easily.


Sewickley @ Tokyo -3

F-Bomb o F-Bomb where art thou? Looks like LEON WASHINGTON is going to get the start at RB for Sewickley this week in a 3 WR set. Marshall scored 14 on Monday night. Dare I say that he needed MORE THAN THAT? Reggie Wayne (vs. PIT) and D Jackson (vs. NYG) have tough matchups. F-Bomb is 1-3 in his last 4 games and the 1 win was a 1pt nail biter. Could the F-Bomb run in the Central be over? Tokyo has a strong roster at RB and WR (Ronnie Brown, Jacobs, Randy and Evans). Cassel pulling the trigger is the wild card. Looks like Tokyo plans to extend the Carson Palmer experiment another year. I’m surprised he didn’t load up to make an offer on QB to KEEP. This game will be close. My gut says that Sewickley finds a way to pull it out. Take the points.


Mt. Lebo @ New York -5

Brady Quinn handled his business by putting up 19 on Thursday night. Mt. Lebo is one loss away from assuring themselves of yet another losing season. In fact the emails have already started to get passed around about the Annual Aqua Man Consolation Tourney (C’mon, that is the PERFECT name for the loser tourney). The strange thing is that this game features the top two highest scoring teams in the league, yet NYC is favored hands down in the owner polls. NYC has dropped 2 of their last 3 games and the Clients are hungry for redemption. Lot of trades happened this week and the biggest was between these two teams. Plax Burress will suit up in Client’s blue and white this weekend and be taking the field against the Steelers’ DEF that has long been a Client’s staple. DYK that Mt. Lebo originally traded the Steelers DEF to NYC 2 years ago? NY is trying to skate through this week and get healthy for the playoff stretch. Mt. Lebo NEEDS this game and NYC WANTS it. I like the desperate team. Take the points and hope that Mt. Lebo can keep hope alive.


Jersey -2 @ Henderson

Winslow BLEW UP for the Hitmen on Thursday (23pts). Had Henderson kept and started Eddie Royal (26pts) this game may be over before it started. As it is Hendo has made a big swipe at the Jackers neck. The Jackers are falling apart (Memo to Raud: This is what it looks like when the wheels fall off). This is NOT the week that it is helpful for Barber and Graham to be on a bye. Jersey started the season with 4 wins and now has lost 5 in a row; he needs to start winning again if he plans to make the playoffs. Hendo finally made a trade for a 2nd rb, now he will be watching the injury report on a weekly basis to see if McGahee will go. Willis’ 0 pt effort last week got him a ticket out of NYC on the first thing smoking. Now McGahee has an opportunity to chase down NY over the next 4 weeks. I like Hendo to put the pressure on NYC this week. Take the points.


Norfolk @ Aliquippa -5

All the talk about the soft Bronco’s DEF rings hollow on Braylon Edwards. Edwards has been single handedly torching fantasy teams across the country this year. Not Norfolk….The Shipmen just keep winning. Creping along at 70PPG!!! The Shipmen continue to post W after W on the board. I don’t remember a time where a team had the top 2 RBs in the FAA. Throw in the 2nd ranked QB and Norfolk is primed for another deep playoff run. Before you plan the parade though you have to consider the WRs and his scoring average. Norfolk is unlikely to win tiebreakers with ANY team for final playoff spots. In fact the Shipmen would be OUT of the playoffs if they started today. The Shipmen have to keep winning to get in. Any ties could be tragic. All the Rabid Ghosts have going for them is running backs (Slaton and Johnson), and their matchups are AWFUL (Bal and CHI) this week. Doesn’t seem logical, but Norfolk may just win another ugly game. Even if he doesn’t win he will cover. Take the points and Norfolk.


GAME OF THE WEEK

Imperial -9 @ Albany

“It’s been a looooooooooong a long time coming, but I knoooooowwww a change is going come” Sam Cook

Albany hasn’t played in the featured game in nearly 4 years. The Patroons are one game behind Sewickley for the division lead and they are IN the play off mix for the first time in ages. Drew Brees has all the tools to GO OFF vs. Atlanta, but AJ against BAL is a tough matchup. Marvin Harrison is nearing the stage where he may be shot for humanitarian reasons. LT!!!!!!!!!! That is the headline that was blazed across the FAA trading deadline this week. Tomlinson crosses countries and is in the starting line-up vs. Albany immediately. A juicy matchup against KC could be the welcoming party that LT wants. T. Jones vs. STL, Delhomme vs. OAK, Boldin vs. SF. The matchups are just to good for Imperial in this one. Albany’s return to the stage could be over in 15 mins. Give the points. Imperial in a big way.